Poll Numbers, again

From Paul Wells.

Ekos..

...has Harper's lead narrowing from 37-27 to 35-29 overnight from Tuesday to Wednesday.

I'm just sayin'.

I wonder if this is the Canadian way of saying "take that, Liberals." Make them sweat during the campaign and then turn around at the end?

And More Poll Numbers

Here are numbers for Ontario and Toronto, from CTV. This data is about 2 days old:

• Conservatives: 39%
• Liberals: 33%
• NDP: 20%
• Greens: 8%

And here's Toronto:

• Liberals: 42%
• Conservatives: 35%
• NDP: 17%
• Greens: 6%

I'm a bit disappointed in the NDP showing for Toronto, but otherwise, this doesn't surprise me a great deal. Ontario is still a battleground (although it's looking likely that they'll take some of the 905 ridings).

Having said all that, CTV (like other media outlets) says that a Conservative majority is quite possible.

Now compare the more recent Ontario data:

Party	Now	Previous
Liberals	40	33
Conservatives	33	39
NDP	20	20
Green	7	8

Conservatives are definitely dipping. I seriously wonder if people are really scared of the idea of a Conservative majority.