bcholmes: (Default)
[personal profile] bcholmes

Here are numbers for Ontario and Toronto, from CTV. This data is about 2 days old:

  • Conservatives: 39%
  • Liberals: 33%
  • NDP: 20%
  • Greens: 8%

And here's Toronto:

  • Liberals: 42%
  • Conservatives: 35%
  • NDP: 17%
  • Greens: 6%

I'm a bit disappointed in the NDP showing for Toronto, but otherwise, this doesn't surprise me a great deal. Ontario is still a battleground (although it's looking likely that they'll take some of the 905 ridings).

Having said all that, CTV (like other media outlets) says that a Conservative majority is quite possible.

Now compare the more recent Ontario data:

PartyNowPrevious
Liberals4033
Conservatives3339
NDP2020
Green78

Conservatives are definitely dipping. I seriously wonder if people are really scared of the idea of a Conservative majority.

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BC Holmes

February 2025

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